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India-US Trade Surplus Could Hit $90B

Praveen Gautam Sharma by Praveen Gautam Sharma
February 13, 2026
in Business, Latest News
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India achieves record electronics exports of 47 billion dollar in 2025
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As per SBI Research report, India’s trade surplus with the United States could exceed $90 billion annually. This growth has been driven by rising exports and higher import potential.

The agreement with the US, back on the heels of wide arc of trade deals with the EU and the UK, catapults India to a unique strategic position wherein the country are poised to gain much.

The report says India’s export of $1.36 billion of agricultural commodities will receive zero additional US duty access.

India’s Export to US on Agri Commodities is also set to jump as 75% will now be at zero tariff.

Indian exporters could boost their top 15 items’ exports to the US by $97 billion yearly, with total exports potentially crossing $100 billion annually after recent tariff reductions.

The trade surplus is already showing strong signs of growth. It reached $40.9 billion in FY25 and $26 billion in FY26.

The extra export push could help push the surplus beyond $90 billion yearly, potentially adding 1.1 per cent to India’s GDP.

Praveen Gautam Sharma

Praveen Gautam Sharma

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